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Horse Racing Tips: Paul Jacobs worth playing across the track on Sunday

*All prices are up to date with our fancy widgets, while copy odds are correct at time of publication but are subject to change

It’s quite difficult to find four value plays this weekend apart from Ireland, mostly small fields to post in the UK. However, this extended two-mile handicap chase has nice running form to encourage some sort of investment.

Mick Pastor is the obvious place he’s been fighting over his head for the past 12 months after winning a hunt for the novice handicap by a mark of 147 in Exeter last autumn. But since then on his last three starts (of 147, 145 and 143). ) he was beaten a total of 109 lengths.


Of course if he gets back to his best he’ll be treated pretty well and that’s a little easier but his attention to the lead could well be hampered by the freewheeling Caddyhill arriving here after a second wind op and with his visor on for the first Times. So, in anticipation of an end-to-end canter, this is well set up for the tip.

Robert Walford’s team is doing very well at the moment and after an easy 104 win at Ludlow (jumped better on this flatter course) Elios D’Or was raised to 110 and just played from Pencreek in Worcester in the dying embers to the tune of a neck. This fast stretch will follow his high cruising speed and I can see Sam Twiston-Davies getting his charge to place his fences behind what is likely to be scorching hot pace before unleashing him in the final stretch at the final fence. A 114 grade clearly requires a probable career best, but he’s going into this competition in really good shape.

There is little doubt that the majority of pundits and punters will envision Order of Australia repeating its victory of 12 months ago and Aidan O’Brien’s protégé is the most obvious winner in its class. The likely favorite has followed the same route as last year, running first in the Queen Anne Stakes to make this possible. Based on that effort behind Baaeed, one could argue that he’s better than ever and that the titleholder should be closer than even money than 2/1.

However, I will give the trained runner of the Ger Lyons a chance Dr Zempf now that his clever coach has finally found his optimal set-up. Last year as a youngster it looked like he was going to emerge as a miler plus specialist and indeed Ger thought he would be his 2,000 Guineas horse but an opening win in the Irish 2,000 Guineas Trial was professional and to say the least was then followed by a very disappointing fifth in the Tetrarch stakes as he fell off very tamely.



The problem with this Dark Angel son is that he tends to run very freely in the early stages of his races, which was repeated last time out when he won the Ballychorus Stakes at Leopardstown and ended up being an easy winner. But the significance of this race was the drop to seven furlongs.

I fancy he has improved even further and if he were mine I would even like to run him six stadia, such is his cruising speed and I was surprised that he was at Royal Ascot or at Royal Ascot the July Cup was not included in Group 1. His future could lie at these 1,200 m.

Due to the fact that this is a class six handicap on the Cleveland course, you’d think it would require very little winning, but there are several runners here who can excel very well despite entering the winner’s circle for them is endangered species.

Clotherholme is the exception to that rule, having won twice on his last three starting grades of 55 and 57 and still has a feasible handicap here. However, it could safely be argued that the topweight has shown by far its best form over a mile and certainly over seven furlongs.

A hold-up horse like the Selection, he’s as respected as Premiership, while Mac Alley certainly needs more ground yielding before he returns to winning form, although he’s being treated very well at the moment.

endure was ridden far too close to the pace as he descended tamely over the stiff 10 stadia at Pontefract from a 58 mark after a 132 day hiatus, but ridden with more restraint was a real head turner as an eighth of 14 to Stoney Lane never came close to Beverly, but was hit by just a touch over two lengths. Surprisingly the reviewer dropped him 2 pounds for this run and if Cam Hardie can relax him in the back I can see him overtake the majority of his rivals here down the long stretch.

Sunday’s race tips

13:30 Stratford – Elios D’Or
14:10 Curragh – Dr. zemp
16:25 Redcar-Bearwith

*All prices are up to date with our fancy widgets, while copy odds are correct at time of publication but are subject to change


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